Consensus PnL $184K · win rate 68% (1170–544, n=1714) · PM monthly #458 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$183.8K
Record
1170W / 544L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 1714 settled
Batting Avg
51.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#548
Source
PM monthly #458
Record (90 d)
2031/2213 · 92%
Trades
98,692
Markets
4,651
Volume
$4.6M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Specialties
1,673 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 65¢- Esports
+34 pts
side won 98% of 1327 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +14%
- MLB
+25 pts
side won 94% of 72 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +3%
- NHL
+7 pts
side won 78% of 273 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 66% of 73)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 88% of 281)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 96% of 577)
- 70¢ and up: 44%(won 98% of 742)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.