Consensus PnL -$15K · win rate 58% (265–190, n=455) · was PM monthly #702 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-15.1K
Record
265W / 190L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 455 settled
Batting Avg
52.1%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#850
Source
PM monthly #702
Record (90 d)
197/203 · 97%
Trades
2,090
Markets
455
Volume
$778.5K
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Specialties
220 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 67¢- Soccer
+27 pts
side won 96% of 195 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +27%
- Crypto
+36 pts
side won 88% of 25 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +40%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 78% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 94% of 108)
- 70¢ and up: 46%(won 98% of 102)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.