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81
Consensus PnL $73K · win rate 74% (2570–907, n=3477) · PM monthly #179 · holds 9 consensus positions
0x8191c793...b638da72Polymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$73.2K
Record
2570W / 907L
Win Rate
74.0%
of 3477 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#601
Source
PM monthly #179
Trades
455
Markets
3,620
Volume
$8.1M
Top consensus positions
9 in listed consensus markets · 9 of 9 on the consensus side (100%)- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under $8.9K · now 100¢ · in at 74¢with the consensus (82% of 11)
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under $3.4K · now 0¢ · in at 58¢with the consensus (40% of 6)
- FC Salzburg vs. Austria Lustenau: O/U 5.5Under $2.2K · now 1¢ · in at 60¢with the consensus (50% of 6)
- Wolfsberger AC vs. SK Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Under $1.7K · now 1¢ · in at 69¢with the consensus (50% of 7)
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under $1.4K · now 100¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (43% of 7)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over $914 · now 53¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (90% of 10)
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under $273 · now 0¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (33% of 6)
- FC Emmen vs. FC Den Bosch: O/U 4.5Under $256 · now 0¢ · in at 76¢with the consensus (56% of 9)
Specialties
2,172 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 82¢- Soccer
+18 pts
side won 100% of 2172 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +20%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 100% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 100% of 23)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 100% of 242)
- 70¢ and up: 88%(won 100% of 1901)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.