Consensus PnL $540K · win rate 76% (500–155, n=655) · was PM monthly #899 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$539.6K
Record
500W / 155L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 655 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#546
Source
PM monthly #899
Record (90 d)
464/467 · 99%
Trades
914
Markets
660
Volume
$1.6M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATeam Falcons $1.9K · now 55¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (71% of 50)
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe $456 · now 100¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (60% of 42)
Specialties
493 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 53¢- Esports
+46 pts
side won 99% of 492 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +48%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 98% of 124)
- 50–70¢: 72%(won 100% of 356)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.