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10
Consensus PnL $211K · win rate 54% (208–177, n=385) · was PM monthly #280 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x10372138...e70b5b09Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$211.4K
Record
208W / 177L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 385 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1514
Source
PM monthly #280
Trades
108
Markets
405
Volume
$2.6M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?No $2.1K · now 78¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (38% of 13)
- Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Yes $194 · now 8¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (88% of 17)
Specialties
227 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+34 pts
side won 89% of 227 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +35%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 70% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 83% of 78)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 91% of 102)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 97% of 37)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.