Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 54% (150–126, n=276) · was PM monthly #980 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.3K
Record
150W / 126L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 276 settled
Batting Avg
64.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#998
Source
PM monthly #980
Record (90 d)
188/272 · 69%
Trades
1,237
Markets
362
Volume
$681.7K
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Specialties
255 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 66¢- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 57% of 79 · avg entry 54¢
ROI −1%
- MMA
+12 pts
side won 81% of 21 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +5%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 73% of 146 at an average 73¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI +3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 19% of 47)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 55% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 57% of 37)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 90% of 149)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.