Consensus PnL $96K · win rate 59% (785–546, n=1331) · was PM monthly #1000 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$95.6K
Record
785W / 546L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 1331 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1212
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
427
Markets
1,459
Volume
$1.9M
Specialties
1,298 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 54¢- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 64% of 445 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +8%
- Esports
+6 pts
side won 46% of 167 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +6%
- College Basketball
+12 pts
side won 53% of 30 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +19%
Weakest: NFL — held side won 46% of 24 at an average 51¢ entry (−5 pts against the price), ROI −12%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 22%(won 21% of 287)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 47% of 264)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 61% of 317)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 87% of 430)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.