Consensus PnL $18K · win rate 43% (57–77, n=134) · was PM monthly #997 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$18.4K
Record
57W / 77L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 134 settled
Batting Avg
22.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1461
Source
PM monthly #997
Record (90 d)
42/55 · 76%
Trades
0
Markets
135
Volume
$617.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)Mavericks $2.9K · now 43¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (Nets)
Specialties
68 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+33 pts
side won 82% of 28 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +46%
- Other Sports
+30 pts
side won 79% of 24 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +39%
- Soccer
+28 pts
side won 80% of 15 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +40%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 56%(won 79% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 43%(won 79% of 29)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.