Consensus PnL $34K · win rate 60% (3–2, n=5) · PM monthly #713 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$34.0K
Record
3W / 2L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 5 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1192
Source
PM monthly #713
Trades
35
Markets
13
Volume
$10.6K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 5 on the consensus side (60%)- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes $21K · now 90¢ · in at 27¢with the consensus (44% of 9)
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes $13K · now 94¢ · in at 25¢with the consensus (45% of 11)
- Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes $9.8K · now 54¢ · in at 14¢with the consensus (43% of 14)
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes $4.1K · now 98¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (No)
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes $822 · now 95¢ · in at 32¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 80¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where jacemaester's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.