Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 53% (164–145, n=309) · PM monthly #32 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.2K
Record
164W / 145L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 309 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1573
Source
PM monthly #32
Trades
874
Markets
386
Volume
$11.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Vikings $41K · now 53¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (Lions)
Specialties
364 settled consensus markets · held side won 51% at an average entry of 49¢- Other Sports
+17 pts
side won 65% of 26 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +20%
- College Football
+8 pts
side won 58% of 36 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +9%
- Soccer
+8 pts
side won 58% of 33 · avg entry 49¢
ROI −3%
Weakest: NBA — held side won 47% of 133 at an average 50¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 48% of 135)
- 50–70¢: 59%(won 54% of 215)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 60% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.