Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 90% (77–9, n=86) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$18.6K
Record
77W / 9L
Win Rate
90.0%
of 86 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#241
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
7
Markets
99
Volume
$102.3K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes $37 · now 1¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
76 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 63¢- Esports
+31 pts
side won 96% of 56 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +34%
- Crypto
+19 pts
side won 74% of 19 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 33% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 94% of 17)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 88% of 25)
- 70¢ and up: 41%(won 97% of 31)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.