Consensus PnL $92K · win rate 59% (442–307, n=749) · was PM monthly #565 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$92.2K
Record
442W / 307L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 749 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#806
Source
PM monthly #565
Record (90 d)
261/291 · 90%
Trades
2,916
Markets
1,146
Volume
$972.1K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming $2.5K · now 100¢ · in at 69¢with the consensus (59% of 123)
Specialties
299 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+40 pts
side won 100% of 299 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +41%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 100% of 64)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 100% of 136)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 100% of 89)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.