Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 60% (42–28, n=70) · PM monthly #660 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$12.9K
Record
42W / 28L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 70 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1179
Source
PM monthly #660
Trades
26
Markets
78
Volume
$237.9K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?No $22K · now 54¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Chargers vs. RamsRams $368 · now 74¢ · in at 73¢against the consensus (Chargers)
Specialties
54 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 70¢- Soccer
+11 pts
side won 89% of 18 · avg entry 78¢
ROI +11%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 60% of 10 at an average 72¢ entry (−12 pts against the price), ROI −14%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 20% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 63% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 57%(won 94% of 31)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.