Consensus PnL $1.2K · win rate 42% (416–568, n=984) · PM monthly #291 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$1.2K
Record
416W / 568L
Win Rate
42.0%
of 984 settled
Batting Avg
54.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1453
Source
PM monthly #291
Record (90 d)
109/123 · 89%
Trades
13,190
Markets
1,029
Volume
$6.6M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team $231 · now 0¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
Specialties
762 settled consensus markets · held side won 49% at an average entry of 43¢- Tennis
+37 pts
side won 85% of 47 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +29%
- Esports
+9 pts
side won 51% of 186 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +8%
- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 45% of 205 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 22% of 140)
- 30–50¢: 51%(won 46% of 389)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 67% of 190)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 86% of 43)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.