Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 46% (120–139, n=259) · PM monthly #825 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$24.6K
Record
120W / 139L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 259 settled
Batting Avg
83.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1350
Source
PM monthly #825
Record (90 d)
91/96 · 95%
Trades
47
Markets
277
Volume
$449.9K
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Specialties
133 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 53¢- Esports
+40 pts
side won 92% of 113 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +44%
- Soccer
+39 pts
side won 100% of 18 · avg entry 61¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 92% of 12)
- 30–50¢: 35%(won 93% of 46)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 90% of 51)
- 70¢ and up: 18%(won 96% of 24)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.