Consensus PnL $221K · win rate 99% (14123–167, n=14290) · was PM monthly #739 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$221.0K
Record
14123W / 167L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 14290 settled
Batting Avg
41.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#82
Source
PM monthly #739
Record (90 d)
12695/12830 · 99%
Trades
777
Markets
14,555
Volume
$109.2M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio MonzonIgnacio Monzon $14K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (55% of 26)
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5Under $11 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (75% of 9)
Specialties
10,530 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 99¢- Finance
+5 pts
side won 76% of 17 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 98% of 292 at an average 99¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 15% of 85)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 67% of 18)
- 50–70¢: 0%(won 90% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 99%(won 100% of 10417)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.