Back to Traders
3E
Consensus PnL $60K · win rate 91% (10–1, n=11) · was PM monthly #990 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x3eba55f4...2dd5849aPolymarket
🐋Whale⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$60.3K
Record
10W / 1L
Win Rate
91.0%
of 11 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#231
Source
PM monthly #990
Trades
189
Markets
47
Volume
$3.9M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo $35K · now 96¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (72% of 72)
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes $6.2K · now 28¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (54% of 24)
Specialties
44 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 90¢- Crypto
+4 pts
side won 100% of 29 · avg entry 96¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 0% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 5%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 91%(won 98% of 40)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.