Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 59% (13–9, n=22) · was PM monthly #977 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$19.1K
Record
13W / 9L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 22 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#817
Source
PM monthly #977
Record (90 d)
14/14 · 100%
Trades
1
Markets
23
Volume
$34.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?No $2.1K · now 54¢ · in at 71¢with the consensus (54% of 62)
Specialties
14 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+52 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +54%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 100% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.