Consensus PnL $68K · win rate 71% (93–38, n=131) · was PM monthly #900 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$67.6K
Record
93W / 38L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 131 settled
Batting Avg
42.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#708
Source
PM monthly #900
Trades
859
Markets
189
Volume
$950.3K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes $74K · now 89¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (73% of 15)
Specialties
159 settled consensus markets · held side won 72% at an average entry of 68¢- Weather
+10 pts
side won 76% of 95 · avg entry 66¢
ROI +11%
- Soccer
+13 pts
side won 92% of 13 · avg entry 79¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 11% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 36% of 11)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 65% of 31)
- 70¢ and up: 62%(won 91% of 98)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.