Consensus PnL $93K · win rate 50% (272–274, n=546) · was PM monthly #998 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$92.9K
Record
272W / 274L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 546 settled
Batting Avg
66.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1190
Source
PM monthly #998
Record (90 d)
149/312 · 48%
Trades
1,147
Markets
767
Volume
$924.7K
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Specialties
486 settled consensus markets · held side won 45% at an average entry of 35¢- Soccer
+10 pts
side won 46% of 449 · avg entry 36¢
ROI +3%
- Esports
+5 pts
side won 40% of 30 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 54%(won 15% of 262)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 54% of 59)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 80% of 71)
- 70¢ and up: 19%(won 97% of 94)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.