Consensus PnL -$12K · win rate 80% (8–2, n=10) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-11.5K
Record
8W / 2L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 10 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#360
Source
PM monthly #1000
Record (90 d)
8/10 · 80%
Trades
19
Markets
13
Volume
$206.9K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?Yes $28K · now 82¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (46% of 60)
Specialties
10 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 71¢- Soccer
+9 pts
side won 80% of 10 · avg entry 71¢
ROI −1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 60%(won 67% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.