Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 93% (3002–231, n=3233) · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$23.4K
Record
3002W / 231L
Win Rate
93.0%
of 3233 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#213
Trades
89
Markets
3,323
Volume
$25.6M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $194 · now 69¢ · in at 69¢with the consensus (64% of 142)
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $39 · now 52¢ · in at 58¢against the consensus (Yes)
- AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over $5 · now 76¢ · in at 75¢against the consensus (Under)
Specialties
2,594 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 96¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where thatsabing0's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 98% of 816 at an average 98¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 24% of 45)
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 38% of 48)
- 50–70¢: 2%(won 55% of 47)
- 70¢ and up: 95%(won 99% of 2454)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.