Consensus PnL $24K · win rate 76% (336–108, n=444) · hand-picked wallet · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$24.3K
Record
336W / 108L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 444 settled
Batting Avg
74.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#548
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
19,682
Markets
1,270
Volume
$1.2M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No $708 · now 89¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (60% of 15)
- EU dissolves before 2027?No $112 · now 98¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
Specialties
845 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 79¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 79% of 141 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +4%
- Elections
+3 pts
side won 80% of 162 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +1%
- F1
+7 pts
side won 79% of 62 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 86% of 51 at an average 88¢ entry (−2 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 7% of 139)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 55% of 31)
- 50–70¢: 3%(won 85% of 26)
- 70¢ and up: 77%(won 99% of 649)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.