Consensus PnL -$3.0K · win rate 67% (6–3, n=9) · was PM monthly #879 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-3.0K
Record
6W / 3L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 9 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#857
Source
PM monthly #879
Trades
4
Markets
13
Volume
$21.2K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $2.2K · now 65¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (68% of 131)
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes $1.3K · now 11¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (79% of 44)
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes $2 · now 18¢ · in at 11¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 43¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where tomatosauce3's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 50%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.