Consensus PnL -$21K · no settled consensus market yet · was PM monthly #986 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-21.1K
Record
0W / 0L
Win Rate
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#784
Source
PM monthly #986
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
0
Markets
1
Volume
$303
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over $300 · now 48¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (79% of 17)
Specialties
152 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+50 pts
side won 100% of 119 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +49%
- Soccer
+35 pts
side won 82% of 22 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +45%
- Other Sports
+34 pts
side won 82% of 11 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 64%(won 95% of 98)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 98% of 53)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.