Consensus PnL $160K · win rate 59% (446–306, n=752) · was PM monthly #938 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$159.8K
Record
446W / 306L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 752 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1220
Source
PM monthly #938
Trades
227
Markets
822
Volume
$2.0M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)Jaguars $5.6K · now 55¢ · in at 49¢against the consensus (Colts)
Specialties
671 settled consensus markets · held side won 66% at an average entry of 55¢- NFL
+39 pts
side won 93% of 30 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +47%
- College Football
+32 pts
side won 97% of 38 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +31%
- Tennis
+11 pts
side won 65% of 111 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 25% of 97)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 56% of 176)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 72% of 200)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 90% of 198)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.