Consensus PnL $77K · win rate 81% (942–220, n=1162) · PM monthly #675 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$77.3K
Record
942W / 220L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 1162 settled
Batting Avg
55.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#401
Source
PM monthly #675
Trades
864
Markets
1,448
Volume
$6.5M
Specialties
1,045 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 71¢- MMA
+28 pts
side won 91% of 55 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +8%
- Esports
+30 pts
side won 94% of 18 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +9%
- Soccer
+8 pts
side won 79% of 969 · avg entry 71¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 22% of 110)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 52% of 148)
- 50–70¢: 18%(won 78% of 188)
- 70¢ and up: 57%(won 98% of 599)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.