weaklei

Consensus PnL $1.2K · win rate 96% (68–3, n=71) · hand-picked wallet · holds 2 consensus positions

0x99dd407b...97544303Polymarket

🐋Whale⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$1.2K

Record

68W / 3L

Win Rate

96.0%

of 71 settled

Batting Avg

73.8%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#141

Source

Hand-picked

Trades

10,893

Markets

201

Volume

$5.2M

Top consensus positions

2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?No $127K · now 98¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (95% of 37)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No $2.3K · now 98¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (85% of 41)

Specialties

188 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 97¢

Crypto
+6 pts
side won 100% of 24 · avg entry 94¢
ROI +2%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 3)
30–50¢: 0%
50–70¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
70¢ and up: 98%(won 99% of 184)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.