Consensus PnL $333K · win rate 58% (400–289, n=689) · PM monthly #793 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$333.2K
Record
400W / 289L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 689 settled
Batting Avg
57.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#814
Source
PM monthly #793
Record (90 d)
148/210 · 70%
Trades
1,752
Markets
3,662
Volume
$18.6M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere $3.2K · now 100¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (53% of 32)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz $2 · now 0¢ · in at 33¢against the consensus (MOUZ)
Specialties
605 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 51¢- Esports
+7 pts
side won 58% of 604 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 28%(won 5% of 167)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 32% of 105)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 86% of 153)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 97% of 180)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.