Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

17 of 32 top Polymarket traders hold Natus Vincere (53%) · Natus Vincere at 100¢ · $125K held · ended Nov 8

Natus Vincere>99¢BetBoom Team<1¢Ended Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Natus Vincere

Consensus Traders

Natus Vincere 53%

Total Value

$125.3K

Combined PnL

$1.8K

Smart Money Entry

69.5¢ → 100¢

+44% since entry · 17 traders

Research grade

NeutralNatus Vincere at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Natus Vincere

17 of 32 top traders (53%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Natus Vincere100%

BetBoom Team0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Natus Vincere17 traders

Total Value$101.4K

Total Shares129,111

Combined PnL+$4.8K

BetBoom Team15 traders

Total Value$24.0K

Total Shares72,059

Combined PnL$-3.0K

Natus Vincere — 53%BetBoom Team — 47%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LL lllllllIlll	Natus Vincereavg 61.2¢	$32.7K	$32.3K	-$392.74	54% 322-277 (599)
VP Vps1	Natus Vincereavg 99.9¢	$15.0K	$15.0K	+$7.5	96% 464-19 (483)
0xheavy888	Natus Vincereavg 73.7¢	$9.9K	$11.9K	+$2.0K	56% 8260-6557 (14817)
CORGIICTR	BetBoom Teamavg 41.2¢	$12.4K	$11.8K	-$510	41% 418-597 (1015)
DamwonChampions2026	Natus Vincereavg 71.4¢	$9.3K	$11.4K	+$2.1K	53% 2198-1947 (4145)
minji	Natus Vincereavg 65.3¢	$8.1K	$8.2K	+$111.82	52% 1914-1755 (3669)
11 0x1196...fe97CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 39.4¢	$4.6K	$5.9K	+$1.2K	—
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Natus Vincereavg 66.2¢	$6.5K	$5.8K	-$741.73	53% 14954-13478 (28432)
LI LinkE5CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 39¢	$3.9K	$3.9K	-$50	47% 748-834 (1582)
WH white-rabbit	Natus Vincereavg 66.5¢	$2.3K	$3.2K	+$868.16	53% 1823-1620 (3443)
0X 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250	Natus Vincereavg 83.7¢	$2.3K	$2.7K	+$434.2	97% 3845-139 (3984)
FK fkALG2FalconsTES	Natus Vincereavg 61.2¢	$3.1K	$2.5K	-$560	57% 2127-1578 (3705)
BL black-rabbit	Natus Vincereavg 62¢	$1.2K	$1.9K	+$715.36	54% 2073-1776 (3849)
31 319113331313111	Natus Vincereavg 77.3¢	$2.0K	$1.7K	-$245.51	59% 414-284 (698)
FR frohp5	Natus Vincereavg 76¢	$1.1K	$1.5K	+$350.11	65% 2092-1126 (3218)
BI BillBenter2026	Natus Vincereavg 72.9¢	$997.7	$1.4K	+$369.49	57% 19479-14427 (33906)
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	Natus Vincereavg 61¢	$976	$984	+$8	53% 6334-5615 (11949)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 16.9¢	$1.5K	$822.09	-$720.74	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
RI Richidd	Natus Vincereavg 62.2¢	$1.0K	$819.67	-$199.83	49% 61-63 (124)
CR crmannetjeCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 31¢	$1.0K	$816.67	-$218.33	48% 27-29 (56)
PA pauleta23CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 14.4¢	$424.88	$318.08	-$106.8	65% 24597-12971 (37568)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 40¢	$600	$232.5	-$367.5	51% 2062-2000 (4062)
PA papaebalCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 39¢	$193.05	$191.97	+$2.32	48% 134-145 (279)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG	Natus Vincereavg 76.9¢	$161.91	$158.94	-$2.97	59% 6954-4900 (11854)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Natus Vincereavg 77.3¢	$54.32	$43.63	-$10.69	50% 21821-22062 (43883)

lllllllIlll

Natus Vincere

Invested

$32,684.58

Value

$32.3K

PnL

-$392.74

Record

54%

322-277 (599)

Vps1

Natus Vincere

Invested

$14,985

Value

$15.0K

PnL

+$7.5

Record

96%

464-19 (483)

0xheavy888

Natus Vincere

Invested

$9,895.87

Value

$11.9K

PnL

+$2.0K

Record

56%

8260-6557 (14817)

CORGIICTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$12,360

Value

$11.8K

PnL

-$510

Record

41%

418-597 (1015)

DamwonChampions2026

Natus Vincere

Invested

$9,302.96

Value

$11.4K

PnL

+$2.1K

Record

53%

2198-1947 (4145)

minji

Natus Vincere

Invested

$8,056.74

Value

$8.2K

PnL

+$111.82

Record

52%

1914-1755 (3669)

0x1196...fe97CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4,643.53

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

—

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Natus Vincere

Invested

$6,517.31

Value

$5.8K

PnL

-$741.73

Record

53%

14954-13478 (28432)

LinkE5CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$3,900

Value

$3.9K

PnL

-$50

Record

47%

748-834 (1582)

white-rabbit

Natus Vincere

Invested

$2,307.14

Value

$3.2K

PnL

+$868.16

Record

53%

1823-1620 (3443)

0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250

Natus Vincere

Invested

$2,293.87

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$434.2

Record

97%

3845-139 (3984)

fkALG2FalconsTES

Natus Vincere

Invested

$3,060

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$560

Record

57%

2127-1578 (3705)

black-rabbit

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,168.7

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$715.36

Record

54%

2073-1776 (3849)

319113331313111

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,972.06

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$245.51

Record

59%

414-284 (698)

frohp5

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,111

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$350.11

Record

65%

2092-1126 (3218)

BillBenter2026

Natus Vincere

Invested

$997.7

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$369.49

Record

57%

19479-14427 (33906)

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Natus Vincere

Invested

$976

Value

$984

PnL

+$8

Record

53%

6334-5615 (11949)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,542.84

Value

$822.09

PnL

-$720.74

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

Richidd

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,019.5

Value

$819.67

PnL

-$199.83

Record

49%

61-63 (124)

crmannetjeCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,035

Value

$816.67

PnL

-$218.33

Record

48%

27-29 (56)

pauleta23CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$424.88

Value

$318.08

PnL

-$106.8

Record

65%

24597-12971 (37568)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$600

Value

$232.5

PnL

-$367.5

Record

51%

2062-2000 (4062)

papaebalCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$193.05

Value

$191.97

PnL

+$2.32

Record

48%

134-145 (279)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG

Natus Vincere

Invested

$161.91

Value

$158.94

PnL

-$2.97

Record

59%

6954-4900 (11854)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

$54.32

Value

$43.63

PnL

-$10.69

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

Research grade

NeutralNatus Vincere at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Natus Vincere

17 of 32 top traders (53%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Natus Vincere wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.