Consensus PnL $12K · win rate 80% (8–2, n=10) · PM monthly #535 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$12.2K
Record
8W / 2L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 10 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#449
Source
PM monthly #535
Trades
16
Markets
13
Volume
$1.5M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo $302K · now 96¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (72% of 72)
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes $10K · now 95¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (86% of 158)
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $190 · now 95¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (79% of 106)
Specialties
10 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 89¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where xrr67's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 10)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.