Consensus PnL -$65K · win rate 62% (301–181, n=482) · was PM monthly #904 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-65.1K
Record
301W / 181L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 482 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1073
Source
PM monthly #904
Trades
160
Markets
500
Volume
$886.4K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?No $7.2K · now 93¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (88% of 29)
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?No $5.0K · now 83¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (74% of 38)
Specialties
289 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 73¢- Soccer
+22 pts
side won 96% of 283 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 55% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 71% of 21)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 98% of 45)
- 70¢ and up: 73%(won 99% of 212)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.