Consensus PnL -$4.5K · win rate 58% (304–218, n=522) · was PM monthly #968 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-4.5K
Record
304W / 218L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 522 settled
Batting Avg
44.4%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1293
Source
PM monthly #968
Trades
307
Markets
609
Volume
$664.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes $1.4K · now 66¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
Specialties
385 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 56¢- Tennis
+31 pts
side won 89% of 91 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +24%
- Soccer
+25 pts
side won 84% of 241 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +25%
- Crypto
+13 pts
side won 50% of 26 · avg entry 37¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 30% of 56)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 71% of 55)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 92% of 174)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 96% of 100)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.