Consensus PnL $247K · win rate 62% (294–180, n=474) · PM monthly #760 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$247.4K
Record
294W / 180L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 474 settled
Batting Avg
64.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#706
Source
PM monthly #760
Record (90 d)
195/262 · 74%
Trades
16,361
Markets
799
Volume
$2.7M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 $23K · now 100¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (53% of 116)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 $2 · now 0¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (Bilibili Gaming)
Specialties
452 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 56¢- Esports
+12 pts
side won 69% of 450 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 23% of 73)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 50% of 117)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 82% of 137)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 98% of 125)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.