Consensus PnL $301K · win rate 99% (525–1, n=526) · was PM monthly #711 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$300.9K
Record
525W / 1L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 526 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#91
Source
PM monthly #711 + pinned
Trades
10,871
Markets
584
Volume
$110.9M
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 5 on the consensus side (80%)- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No $164K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No $30K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No $20K · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (79% of 14)
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No $19K · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (92% of 13)
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No $16K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢against the consensus (Yes)
Specialties
562 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 100¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 033033033's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 562)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.