No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #751 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #751
Record (90 d)
31/97 · 32%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team $5.9K · now 0¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere $2.5K · now 100¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (63% of 16)
Specialties
597 settled consensus markets · held side won 32% at an average entry of 35¢- NBA
+2 pts
side won 43% of 93 · avg entry 41¢
ROI 0%
- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 56% of 27 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +26%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 27% of 439 at an average 31¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI −5%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 41%(won 11% of 246)
- 30–50¢: 36%(won 37% of 215)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 57% of 96)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 83% of 40)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.