Known as 0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfesh since Nov 11 2026 · Previously known as: oxe78sh4w98 (Nov 9 – Nov 11 2026)
Consensus PnL -$7.2K · win rate 48% (14–15, n=29) · PM monthly #434 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-7.2K
Record
14W / 15L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 29 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#516
Source
PM monthly #434
Record (90 d)
14/29 · 48%
Trades
749
Markets
70
Volume
$42.1K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Time to Sleep vs CyberHero (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group BTime to Sleep $2.4K · now 50¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (33% of 12)
- Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A9INE Academy $151 · now 47¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group AZenith $41 · now 50¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
Specialties
15 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 62¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfesh's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 53%(won 88% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.