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Consensus PnL $47K · win rate 73% (77–28, n=105) · was PM monthly #996 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x56e777a0...d5737c0bPolymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$47.1K
Record
77W / 28L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 105 settled
Batting Avg
54.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#637
Source
PM monthly #996
Trades
273
Markets
137
Volume
$847.3K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No $13K · now 84¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (83% of 130)
- Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes $2.6K · now 68¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- US imports Russian diesel by November 2?No $2.3K · now 98¢ · in at 88¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
Specialties
92 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 79¢- Geopolitics
+4 pts
side won 89% of 45 · avg entry 85¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 29% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 40% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 10%(won 67% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 77%(won 89% of 71)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.