Back to Traders
69
Consensus PnL $95K · win rate 58% (1167–854, n=2021) · PM monthly #326 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x6918ea18...fba5782bPolymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$94.7K
Record
1167W / 854L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 2021 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1277
Source
PM monthly #326
Trades
224
Markets
2,036
Volume
$5.4M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes $11K · now 47¢ · in at 33¢with the consensus (60% of 20)
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes $2.4K · now 25¢ · in at 31¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Yes $569 · now 8¢ · in at 7¢with the consensus (88% of 17)
Specialties
1,903 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 54¢- Esports
+4 pts
side won 58% of 1903 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 23% of 157)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 45% of 599)
- 50–70¢: 39%(won 64% of 748)
- 70¢ and up: 21%(won 81% of 399)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.