Consensus PnL $7.6K · win rate 53% (234–205, n=439) · was PM monthly #898 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$7.6K
Record
234W / 205L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 439 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1567
Source
PM monthly #898
Trades
113
Markets
474
Volume
$211.3K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin DammMoise Kouame $526 · now 52¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (67% of 19)
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka $49 · now 25¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (Valentin Vacherot)
Specialties
256 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 54¢- College Football
+49 pts
side won 100% of 54 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +46%
- NFL
+41 pts
side won 98% of 40 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +40%
- Tennis
+37 pts
side won 92% of 113 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +25%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 60% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 97% of 65)
- 50–70¢: 60%(won 96% of 154)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 96% of 27)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.