Consensus PnL $234K · win rate 86% (2040–319, n=2359) · was PM monthly #429 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$233.9K
Record
2040W / 319L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 2359 settled
Batting Avg
79.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#327
Source
PM monthly #429
Record (90 d)
1072/1240 · 86%
Trades
48,556
Markets
3,444
Volume
$10.4M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under $117 · now 90¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (50% of 6)
Specialties
2,004 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 81¢- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 85% of 1972 · avg entry 81¢
ROI +2%
Weakest: MMA — held side won 83% of 24 at an average 83¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 8% of 194)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 45% of 95)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 69% of 166)
- 70¢ and up: 77%(won 98% of 1549)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.