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A2
Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 73% (37–14, n=51) · was PM monthly #994 · holds 6 consensus positions
0xa2dccd83...29a249f9Polymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$24.8K
Record
37W / 14L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 51 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#641
Source
PM monthly #994
Trades
73
Markets
61
Volume
$333.0K
Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 6 on the consensus side (17%)- Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes $300 · now 23¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $170 · now 40¢ · in at 31¢with the consensus (83% of 42)
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes $17 · now 1¢ · in at 7¢against the consensus (No)
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes $6 · now 59¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (No)
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes $3 · now 30¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (No)
- Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes $2 · now 49¢ · in at 65¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
41 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 58¢- Elections
+33 pts
side won 96% of 27 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 29% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 100% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 39%(won 100% of 16)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.