Back to Traders
DE
Consensus PnL $21K · win rate 68% (17–8, n=25) · was PM monthly #967 · holds 5 consensus positions
0xdea29616...363be981Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$21.3K
Record
17W / 8L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 25 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#836
Source
PM monthly #967
Trades
6
Markets
31
Volume
$317.5K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 5 on the consensus side (100%)- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No $28K · now 98¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (91% of 43)
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes $9.2K · now 75¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (50% of 6)
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No $2.8K · now 94¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes $1.6K · now 2¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (79% of 14)
- Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No $471 · now 96¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
Specialties
22 settled consensus markets · held side won 64% at an average entry of 63¢- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 63% of 16 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 32%(won 57% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 50% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 36%(won 88% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.