Consensus PnL $55K · win rate 43% (73–95, n=168) · PM monthly #751 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$54.9K
Record
73W / 95L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 168 settled
Batting Avg
49.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1431
Source
PM monthly #751
Record (90 d)
44/92 · 48%
Trades
12,889
Markets
2,532
Volume
$6.8M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- UTSA vs. Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic $34 · now 88¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (75% of 37)
Specialties
184 settled consensus markets · held side won 39% at an average entry of 43¢- NHL
+4 pts
side won 73% of 15 · avg entry 69¢
ROI −7%
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 34% of 118 at an average 39¢ entry (−5 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 36%(won 12% of 66)
- 30–50¢: 32%(won 26% of 58)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 66% of 32)
- 70¢ and up: 15%(won 100% of 28)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.