Consensus PnL $96K · win rate 98% (41–1, n=42) · PM monthly #216 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$96.3K
Record
41W / 1L
Win Rate
98.0%
of 42 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#110
Source
PM monthly #216
Trades
9
Markets
44
Volume
$4.3M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?No $47K · now 85¢ · in at 87¢with the consensus (78% of 29)
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?No $46K · now 93¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (47% of 18)
Specialties
40 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 94¢- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 100% of 14 · avg entry 90¢
ROI +9%
- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 100% of 12 · avg entry 96¢
ROI +2%
- College Football
+5 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 95¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 40)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.