Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 60% (29–19, n=48) · was PM monthly #958 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$22.7K
Record
29W / 19L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 48 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#770
Source
PM monthly #958
Record (90 d)
31/32 · 97%
Trades
148
Markets
49
Volume
$187.2K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield RoadrunnersBakersfield Roadrunners $1.1K · now 57¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (North Dakota State Bison)
Specialties
28 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 51¢- College Football
+48 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +46%
- NFL
+42 pts
side won 91% of 11 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +41%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 71%(won 100% of 20)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.