Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 57% (4158–3117, n=7275) · was PM monthly #998 · holds 13 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$10.2K
Record
4158W / 3117L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 7275 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1321
Source
PM monthly #998
Trades
112
Markets
11,659
Volume
$677.8K
Top consensus positions
13 in listed consensus markets · 9 of 13 on the consensus side (69%)- Will SK Brann win on 2026-11-01?Yes $98 · now 84¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (38% of 13)
- Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No $65 · now 79¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (54% of 13)
- Will SK Brann vs. Molde FK end in a draw?No $63 · now 84¢ · in at 64¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?Yes $24 · now 20¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-11-01?No $16 · now 98¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (77% of 15)
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-01?No $9 · now 93¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (82% of 19)
- Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?Yes $7 · now 71¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (50% of 24)
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?No $4 · now 86¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (78% of 29)
Specialties
1,153 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 70¢- Soccer
+30 pts
side won 100% of 1153 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 36)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 100% of 149)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 100% of 290)
- 70¢ and up: 59%(won 100% of 678)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.