Consensus PnL $136K · win rate 52% (53–49, n=102) · PM monthly #182 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$135.9K
Record
53W / 49L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 102 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1090
Source
PM monthly #182
Record (90 d)
53/53 · 100%
Trades
4,111
Markets
103
Volume
$2.7M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?No $16K · now 53¢ · in at 50¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?Yes $12K · now 45¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (21% of 29)
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?Yes $8 · now 49¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
53 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 51¢- Soccer
+49 pts
side won 100% of 53 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 49%(won 100% of 26)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 100% of 27)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.