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97
Consensus PnL $35K · win rate 99% (175–1, n=176) · was PM monthly #601 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x97276d1b...baba9157Polymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$35.3K
Record
175W / 1L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 176 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#92
Source
PM monthly #601
Trades
31
Markets
181
Volume
$511.9K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No $4.2K · now 23¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes $3.2K · now 23¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (No)
- Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?No $30 · now 85¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
Specialties
140 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 96¢- Economy
+2 pts
side won 100% of 112 · avg entry 98¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 99%(won 100% of 138)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.