Back to Traders
C8
Consensus PnL $133K · win rate 48% (10–11, n=21) · was PM monthly #930 · holds 3 consensus positions
0xc8849a93...9bb4e17ePolymarket
🐋Whale🔄Contrarian
Consensus PnL
$132.7K
Record
10W / 11L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 21 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1911
Source
PM monthly #930
Trades
118
Markets
26
Volume
$2.3M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No $299K · now 98¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (90% of 42)
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No $98K · now 98¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (92% of 26)
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No $62K · now 96¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (88% of 80)
Specialties
11 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 71¢- Geopolitics
+22 pts
side won 90% of 10 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 64%(won 100% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.